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Week 8 previewThursday, Oct. 29
Russell vs. Justin, Fifth Against Sixth
A win lifts Russell from 45% to 65% playoff odds and Justin from 46% to 58%.
Game of the week: Russell (4–3) vs. Justin (3–4), fifth and sixth in the standings, at 45% and 46% playoff odds. Justin leads the series 12–4, but Russell won the last meeting, 181.96–89.12 in Week 7 of 2025. A win moves Russell to 65% and a loss drops Russell to 32%. Justin is at 58% with a win and 27% with a loss. Projected: Justin 125.3, Russell 119.9.
ProjectedRussell119.1 projected points45% to winJustin123.6 projected points55% to win
Justin leads 12–4
With a win and with a loss show each team’s chance of making the playoffs after this week’s result.
Projected score is each team’s total; win chance is each side’s probability of winning the game, as of Oct. 28.
This week in league history
Week 8, 2025: Mikey's Destroyer of Worlds scored 181.34 against The Thinker. The 12th-highest regular-season score in league history.
Carter (5–2) vs. Nolan (5–2) puts two of the three 5–2 teams together. Carter leads the series 8–7; Nolan won the last meeting, 116.74–115.24 in 2025. Projected: Nolan 129.3, Carter 107.5.
Chris (3–4) vs. Wills (3–4): Wills leads 7–5 and won the last meeting, 97.96–92.00. Ethan (5–2) vs. Eli (3–4): Eli leads the series 8–7, and both teams enter on three-game winning streaks. Mikey (4–3) vs. Cloudy (0–7): the series is tied 5–5, and Mikey won the last meeting, 128.06–109.26 in the 2025 playoffs.
This week in league history: in Week 8 of 2025, Mikey's Destroyer of Worlds scored 181.34 against Justin's The Thinker, the 12th-highest regular-season score in league history.
ProjectedMikey120.2 projected points62% to winCloudy109.9 projected points38% to win
Series tied 5–5
Power rankingsWeek 7 · Wednesday, Oct. 28
Ethan Takes No. 1, Eli Climbs to No. 2
Eli is 3–4 and ninth in the standings, and second here on three straight wins.
Ethan moves up one spot to No. 1 at 5–2, with three straight wins and a 46–17 record against the full field, the best in the league. Ethan's playoff odds are above 99% and the odds of a first-round bye are 76%. Mikey, No. 1 a week ago, drops two spots to third after a 98.82, the lowest score of Mikey's season, but still holds 1016.28 points, the most through seven weeks in league history.
Order: 60% all-play record (every team against every score, every week), 25% all-play over the last three weeks, 15% actual record. Odds: 20,000 simulations of the remaining regular season from each team's scoring so far.
Eli climbs three spots to No. 2 while sitting ninth in the standings at 3–4. A quarter of the order comes from the last three weeks, and Eli has won all three, with 154.98, 129.68 and 144.22. Eli's playoff odds are 35%. Wills, whose 145.34 led Week 7, moves up one spot to seventh.
Ethan, Carter and Nolan share the best record at 5–2; Carter is fourth and Nolan sixth on a 33–30 all-play record. Russell is 4–3 and ninth, with a 22–41 all-play record. Cloudy is 0–7, with 98% odds of finishing tenth.
Trades & waiversWeek 7 · Wednesday, Oct. 28
Two Trades, 17 Adds for Ethan
Eli and Mikey swapped two players apiece, and Carter bought Emanuel Wilson from Chris for $3 FAAB.
Eli sent Baker Mayfield and Malik Washington to Mikey for Jordan Mason and Carnell Tate on Oct. 21. Rest of season: Eli 66%. Jordan Mason and Carnell Tate scored 14.20 in Eli's Week 7 lineup; Mikey's lineup has 0.00 from Baker Mayfield and Malik Washington.
“Since the deal” counts points the incoming players scored in their new team’s starting lineup. “Rest of season” is the modeled chance that side gets more out of the deal from here.
Top waiver bids
$31Caleb Douglas WRRussell
$7New England Patriots DEFChris
$3Chig Okonkwo TEMikey
$1Hunter Henry TEChris
$1Pittsburgh Steelers DEFEthan
Carter sent $3 FAAB to Chris for Emanuel Wilson on Oct. 24. Rest of season: Carter 85%. Emanuel Wilson scored 18.00 for Carter in Week 7.
The week had 47 moves. Ethan was the busiest office with 17 adds, and the top waiver bid was Russell's $31 for Caleb Douglas. Chris has made 14 trades this season, the most in the league; Justin has 13.
“Since the deal” counts points the incoming players scored in their new team’s starting lineup. “Rest of season” is the modeled chance that side gets more out of the deal from here.
Wills Scores 145.34; Ethan Leads Three Teams at 5–2
Mikey's 1016.28 points are the most through seven weeks in league history. Cloudy is 0–7.
Wills beat Russell 145.34–110.78 for the week's high score, which would have beaten all nine other teams. Eli scored 144.22 and beat Cloudy by 49.50, the week's widest margin, for his third straight win.
Final scores
Nolan140.16
defeated Justin111.44
Wills145.34
defeated Russell110.78
Chris116.06
defeated Mikey98.82
Ethan141.88
defeated Carter105.72
Eli144.22
defeated Cloudy94.72
Awards
Boss of the WeekWills145.349–0 against the field
Bench BlunderEthan37.16 leftJameson Williams scored 23.60 on the bench
Lineup LossJustin142.54Best possible lineup would have won
Ethan beat Carter 141.88–105.72 and moves into first, one of three teams at 5–2 with Carter and Nolan; Ethan leads on points. Tony Pollard scored 35.00 for him, and he left 37.16 points on his bench, including 23.60 from Jameson Williams.
Nolan beat Justin 140.16–111.44. Justin's best possible lineup, 142.54, would have won; Luther Burden III scored 21.70 on his bench. Chris beat Mikey 116.06–98.82 in the week's closest game, ending a run of five weeks below the weekly median.
Mikey has 1016.28 points through seven weeks, the most in league history; the previous best was Russell's 1007.78 in 2025. He is 4–3 and fourth. Cloudy is 0–7. Two teams started 0–7 from 2017 to 2025, and neither made the playoffs.
A Russell win lifts his playoff odds to 79%. A loss leaves Wills at 14%.
Game of the week: Russell (4–2) vs. Wills (2–4), one week after Wills sent Kyren Williams and Drake London to Russell for Quinshon Judkins and Ja'Marr Chase. Russell leads the series 8–5, but Wills won the last meeting, 151.16–124.54 in the 2025 playoffs. A win moves Russell to 79% playoff odds and a loss drops him to 53%. Wills is at 37% with a win and 14% with a loss.
With a win and with a loss show each team’s chance of making the playoffs after this week’s result.
This week in league history
Week 7, 2020: Wills's Comeback Season scored 206.04 against Obi-Wan Mahomie. The 2nd-highest regular-season score in league history.
Justin (3–3) vs. Nolan (4–2): Justin leads the series 12–6 and has won two straight; Nolan has lost two straight. Chris (2–4) vs. Mikey (4–2): the series is tied 5–5.
Carter (5–1) vs. Ethan (4–2): Ethan leads 8–6 and won the last meeting, 95.70–74.92 in the 2025 playoffs. Cloudy (0–6) vs. Eli (2–4): Cloudy leads 5–2, including a 114.40–97.90 playoff win in 2025.
This week in league history: in Week 7 of 2020, Wills's Comeback Season scored 206.04 against Justin's Obi-Wan Mahomie, the second-highest regular-season score in league history.
Russell is 4–2 and ninth. Eli is 2–4 and fifth. The all-play record explains both.
Mikey moves up one spot to No. 1 at 4–2, with a 40–14 record against the full field and the most points through six weeks in league history. Ethan is one all-play win behind at 39–15. Carter, alone in first in the standings at 5–1, is third.
Order: 60% all-play record (every team against every score, every week), 25% all-play over the last three weeks, 15% actual record. Odds: 20,000 simulations of the remaining regular season from each team's scoring so far.
The order and the standings disagree most at Russell, who is 4–2 with a 19–35 all-play record and the ninth-most points. Eli moves up four spots to fifth on two straight wins. Nolan drops three to sixth after two straight losses.
Playoff odds come from 20,000 simulations of the eight weeks left. Mikey is above 99%, Ethan and Carter at 98%. Cloudy's odds of finishing tenth are 91%.
Trades & waiversWeek 6 · Wednesday, Oct. 21
Five Trades, Chris in Three
Chris sent out Justin Jefferson and Ashton Jeanty. Justin made the most adds and the most lopsided trade.
Chris made three of the week's five trades. He sent Jacory Croskey-Merritt to Justin for Dameon Pierce, Justin Jefferson to Carter for Jaylen Warren, and Ashton Jeanty to Ethan for Bucky Irving and Christian Watson. Rest of season: Justin 99% on the first, Chris 53% on the second, Chris 67% on the third.
“Since the deal” counts points the incoming players scored in their new team’s starting lineup. “Rest of season” is the modeled chance that side gets more out of the deal from here.
Ethan also sent D'Andre Swift to Justin for Josh Jacobs on Monday. Rest of season: Justin 93%. In the week's largest deal, Wills sent Kyren Williams, Drake London, and $25 FAAB to Russell for Quinshon Judkins and Ja'Marr Chase. Rest of season: Russell 79%. Kyren Williams and Drake London have scored 18.40 for Russell since.
Justin was the busiest office with seven adds. Chris and Justin have each made 12 trades this season; the league has made 28.
Mikey Scores 144.68, Reaches a Record 917.46 Through Six Weeks
Carter is alone in first at 5–1. Russell scored 74.06 and lost by 70.62.
Mikey beat Russell 144.68–74.06, the week's high score and its widest margin. The 144.68 would have beaten all nine other teams. Mikey has 917.46 points through six weeks, the most in league history; the previous best was Russell's 888.04 in 2020. Russell's 74.06 ranks 45th-lowest in league history.
Final scores
Justin117.20
defeated Cloudy102.28
Ethan133.18
defeated Wills99.72
Mikey144.68
defeated Russell74.06
Carter123.38
defeated Chris104.86
Eli129.68
defeated Nolan81.32
Awards
Boss of the WeekMikey144.689–0 against the field
Bench BlunderJustin30.70 leftGermie Bernard scored 20.20 on the bench
Carter beat Chris 123.38–104.86 and is alone in first at 5–1, after leaving 1.18 points on his bench. Chris has scored below the weekly median five weeks in a row. Ethan beat Wills 133.18–99.72. Wills started the best lineup available on his roster and lost by 33.46.
Eli beat Nolan 129.68–81.32 for a second straight win. Nolan, first a week ago, has lost two straight and is fourth. Justin beat Cloudy 117.20–102.28, the week's closest game, with 20.20 from Germie Bernard on his bench.
Cloudy is 0–6. Three teams started 0–6 from 2017 to 2025, and none made the playoffs.
A win puts Chris at 65% to make the playoffs. A loss drops him to 40%.
No game this week moves playoff odds more than Chris against Carter. Chris is 2–3 and would rise to 65% with a win or fall to 40% with a loss. Carter is 4–1: 96% with a win, 86% with a loss. Chris leads the all-time series 7–5.