5–22nd in the standings

Carter Duncan · Boss since 2018 · Year Ten draft slot 6

Carter

Bowers Castle

Runner-up 2018
League low: 49.30 in one week

−0.79
Schedule luck per season, the lowest in league history
Method
Actual wins minus all-play expected wins, per season.
2018
Runner-up finish in his first season
Method
A fifth seed that reached the final and lost it to Justin.
6–0
Start to the 2023 season
Method
Six wins in the first six weeks; the season ended in third place.
5–2
Year Ten record
Through Week 7
Method
From the 2026 season to date.

Franchise film

Bowers Castle

Bowers Castle. Carter Duncan, in the league since 2018. Career record 46–63 through 2025: 8 seasons, 1 final, 3 playoff berths.

2018–2025

The Career

46–63
Regular season
12,949.00 points over eight seasons
0
Championships
Runner-up in 2018
3
Playoff trips
2018, 2022, and 2023
175.34
Best week
Week 1, 2020. Against Justin.
Box score

Drafts and lineups, 2018–2025

The Build

3.68
Quarterbacks on the roster
No. 3 of 14 · League average 3.36
Average quarterbacks on his roster, starters and bench, per regular-season week.
28.8%
Starter points from the two QB slots
No. 13 of 14 · League average 29.8%
Share of his regular-season starter points scored in the two QB slots.
3.00
Quarterbacks per draft
No. 7 of 14 · League average 3.03
Quarterbacks drafted per draft.
31%
Starter points from players he did not draft
No. 13 of 14 · League average 44%
Share of his regular-season starter points from players he did not draft that season.

Ring of Honor

QBPatrick Mahomes2018–2024490.3
QBRyan Tannehill2019–2021463.5
RBKyren Williams2023–2025321.6
RBJosh Jacobs2020–2023296.8
WRDeAndre Hopkins2018–2021455.1
WRJustin Jefferson2022–2025371.8
TETravis Kelce2018–2024495.4
FLEXDeVonta Smith2021–2023256.7
KWil Lutz2018–2025117.5
DEFMinnesota Vikings2018–2025129.0

From the archive, through 2025

Signature players

Travis Kelce
586.8 points in his lineup, 47 starts
Brock Bowers
Round 3, pick 24 in the 2025 draft
George Kittle
246.8 points in his lineup, 19 starts
DeAndre Hopkins
546.5 points in his lineup, 43 starts
Justin Jefferson
486.5 points in his lineup, 35 starts

Chapter 1

Schedule luck

Schedule swap

Carter’s actual wins trail his all-play expectation by 0.79 a season, the widest gap in league history.

Season	Record	Expected wins	Schedule luck
2018	7–6	7.89	−0.89
2019	5–8	5.33	−0.33
2020	4–9	7.44	−3.44
2021	6–8	4.78	+1.22
2022	8–6	8.11	−0.11
2023	9–5	8.89	+0.11
2024	5–9	4.44	+0.56
2025	2–12	5.44	−3.44

−0.79
Wins per season against the all-play expectation
Method
Actual wins minus all-play expected wins, divided by seasons played.
−6.33
Wins below expectation across 8 seasons
Method
From the league analytics.
−3.44
The 2020 gap: 7.44 expected wins, 4 actual
Method
From the league analytics.

Chapter 2

The 2018 final

The 2018 season

A 7–6 fifth seed beat the fourth and first seeds, then lost the final to Justin 116.46–138.90.

Week	Opponent	Score	Result
Week 14	Samuel	106.10–91.98	W
Week 15	Eli	140.68–117.70	W
Week 16	Justin	116.46–138.90	L

7–6
Regular season, fifth seed
Method
From the career records.
Runner-up
Final placing in his first season
Method
From the career records.
399.74
Patrick Mahomes points for him in 2018, a Round 10 pick
Method
Pick 94 overall; 15 starts.

Patrick Mahomes
Round 10, pick 94; 15 starts and 399.74 points in 2018

The 2018 draft

Chapter 3

The 2023 season

A 6–0 start, 1,808.68 points, the second-most in the league, and a third-place finish.

Week	Opponent	Score	Result
Week 1	Wills	119.56–91.00	W
Week 2	Mikey	167.58–105.44	W
Week 3	Ethan	151.46–101.44	W
Week 4	Russell	163.32–97.98	W
Week 5	Eli	153.48–132.46	W
Week 6	Cloudy	110.04–103.56	W
Week 16	Justin	117.38–133.98	L
Week 17	Mikey	128.40–84.90	W

6–0
Start, Weeks 1 to 6
Method
From the 2023 season results.
1,808.68
Points for, second in the league
Method
From the league analytics.
9–5
Regular season, then third place
Method
From the career records.

Jalen Hurts
Round 2, pick 19; held all 17 weeks, 356.22 points

Chapter 4

Tight ends

A tight end in Rounds 1 to 3 in five of his eight drafts, and Travis Kelce drafted three times.

Travis Kelce
Drafted three times; 586.8 points in his lineup over 47 starts
George Kittle
Drafted three times; 246.8 points over 19 starts
T.J. Hockenson
171.5 points over 16 starts, all 17 weeks of 2023
Darren Waller
Round 3, pick 26 in 2021
Brock Bowers
Round 3, pick 24 in 2025

5
Drafts of eight with a tight end taken in Rounds 1 to 3
Method
Kelce in 2018 and 2022, Kittle in 2020, Waller in 2021, Bowers in 2025.
47
Travis Kelce starts, the most of any player he has owned
Method
From the league analytics.

Draft	Tight end	Pick
2018	Travis Kelce	Round 3, pick 27
2020	George Kittle	Round 3, pick 23
2021	Darren Waller	Round 3, pick 26
2022	Travis Kelce	Round 2, pick 18
2025	Brock Bowers	Round 3, pick 24

Chapter 5

Against Justin

All rivalries

Carter is 2–13 against Justin, both playoff games lost, and the league’s lowest score, 49.30, came against him.

2–13
The series, Carter first
Method
From the head-to-head records.
49.30
Lowest regular-season score in league history, Week 3 of 2024
Method
Justin scored 149.34 in the same game.
−393.80
Point differential across the series
Method
From the head-to-head records.

Game	Opponent	Score	Result
2018 Week 13	Justin	143.44–132.70	W
2018 Week 16 (playoffs)	Justin	116.46–138.90	L
2020 Week 1	Justin	175.34–106.24	W
2020 Week 9	Justin	143.82–145.16	L
2023 Week 16 (playoffs)	Justin	117.38–133.98	L
2024 Week 3	Justin	49.30–149.34	L
2024 Week 11	Justin	100.58–195.22	L
2025 Week 11	Justin	117.72–119.28	L

Justin’s page

Year Ten · Through Week 7

Year Ten

Year Ten standings

5–2 and second in the standings at 124.29 points a game, with an all-play record of 35–28.

5–2
Record, second in the standings
Through Week 7
Method
From the 2026 season to date.
124.29
Points per game
Through Week 7
Method
From the 2026 season to date.
35–28
All-play record against every team each week
Through Week 7
Method
From the 2026 season to date.
93%
Playoff odds on the Wire
Through Week 7
Method
The Wire’s published number for this week.

Week	Opponent	Score	Result
Week 1	Eli	127.72–86.72	W
Week 2	Justin	129.08–122.90	W
Week 3	Wills	135.78–133.16	W
Week 4	Russell	109.98–121.00	L
Week 5	Mikey	138.40–119.68	W
Week 6	Chris	123.38–104.86	W
Week 7	Ethan	105.72–141.88	L