Luck Lab · 1,290 regular-season scores · 2017–2026 Week 7
Luck Lab
What a score was really worth against every regular-season score since 2017, and what every boss’s record would be on everyone else’s schedule.
Every regular-season score · 2017 to date
Score Translator
Type a score, or pick one, and read what it has been worth in this league: how many scores it beats, how often scores like it won, and how many weeks it would have led.
From 40 to 215 points. The presets are the league record, the latest week’s high, the league average and each boss’s latest score.
85.9%
of the 1,290 regular-season scores since 2017 are below it
85%
win rate of the 107 scores within 5 points of it
30 of 129
weeks whose highest score it matches or beats
wins losses
Highest losing score 164.52, Chris in 2019, Week 3 · Lowest winning score 64.04, Baylor in 2017, Week 5
Every regular-season score from 2017 through the last final week of 2026. Win rate counts a tie as half a win. Percentile: the share of all scores below the score. Win rate: wins among the scores within 5 points, a tie counting half. Weeks led: weeks whose highest score the score matches or beats.
Every boss on every schedule · 2017–2026
Schedule Swap
Each boss’s record on each of the ten schedules that season, week by week; the outlined diagonal is what actually happened.
Through Week 7 of 2026. Pick a boss for his sentence.
Ethan is 5–2 through Week 7 of 2026. With Chris’ schedule he would be 7–0, the best of the 10. With Russell’s schedule, 3–4, the worst.
| Boss, actual record, strength of schedule. Each column is the schedule he plays. | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5–2 | 5–2 | 6–1 | 6–1 | 3–4 | 5–2 | 7–0 | 5–2 | 5–2 | 4–3 | |
| 4–3 | 5–2 | 5–2 | 5–2 | 3–4 | 4–3 | 5–2 | 2–5 | 4–3 | 3–4 | |
| 4–3 | 3–4 | 5–2 | 6–1 | 2–5 | 3–4 | 4–3 | 4–3 | 4–3 | 3–4 | |
| 3–4 | 4–3 | 4–3 | 4–3 | 6–1 | 6–1 | 4–3 | 4–3 | 5–2 | 5–2 | |
| 2–5 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–5 | 4–3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 1–6 | 2–5 | 3–4 | |
| 4–3 | 4–3 | 5–2 | 4–3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 4–3 | 4–3 | 4–3 | 2–5 | |
| 3–4 | 2–5 | 5–2 | 4–3 | 4–3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–5 | 3–4 | 3–4 | |
| 2–5 | 4–3 | 5–2 | 4–3 | 4–3 | 2–5 | 4–3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 4–3 | |
| 3–4 | 4–3 | 5–2 | 4–3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 5–2 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | |
| 1–6 | 2–5 | 1–6 | 1–6 | 1–6 | 1–6 | 1–6 | 0–7 | 2–5 | 0–7 |
Ethan · 5–2 · strength of schedule +4.76
- 1With Chris’ schedule7–0
- 2With Nolan’s schedule6–1
- 3With Mikey’s schedule6–1
- 4His own scheduleactual5–2
- 5With Carter’s schedule5–2
- 6With Justin’s schedule5–2
- 7With Wills’ schedule5–2
- 8With Eli’s schedule5–2
- 9With Cloudy’s schedule4–3
- 10With Russell’s schedule3–4
Each row is that boss's record playing the column boss's opponents week by week; when the column boss played him, he plays the column boss instead. The outlined diagonal is the actual record. SOS: Opponents' average score minus the league average that season.
2017–2025 · wins above an average schedule
Career schedule effect
Wins each boss’s actual schedules gave him, or took from him, against the average of all ten schedules every season he played.
- 1
Ethan+7.10+1.01 a season over 7 seasons · best 2020 +2.7 · worst 2019 −0.2 - 2
Chris+5.10+0.57 a season over 9 seasons · best 2022 +2.5 · worst 2019 −2.2 - 3
Baylor+3.50+0.87 a season over 4 seasons · best 2017 +3.1 · worst 2020 −0.4 - 4
Samuel+2.70+0.68 a season over 4 seasons · best 2020 +1.9 · worst 2017 −0.4 - 5
Justin+2.60+0.29 a season over 9 seasons · best 2022 +3.0 · worst 2017 −2.2 - 6
Mikey+1.50+0.30 a season over 5 seasons · best 2024 +2.1 · worst 2021 −0.9 - 7
Connor−0.40−0.20 a season over 2 seasons · best 2018 +0.6 · worst 2017 −1.0 - 8
Cloudy−0.80−0.16 a season over 5 seasons · best 2021 +2.3 · worst 2022 −4.8 - 9
Jack−1.20−1.20 a season over 1 season · best 2017 −1.2 · worst 2017 −1.2 - 10
Eli−1.40−0.16 a season over 9 seasons · best 2020 +1.9 · worst 2023 −3.5 - 11
Russell−2.40−0.27 a season over 9 seasons · best 2022 +1.5 · worst 2024 −2.6 - 12
Nolan−4.80−0.53 a season over 9 seasons · best 2023 +0.4 · worst 2020 −1.7 - 13
Carter−5.70−0.71 a season over 8 seasons · best 2021 +1.1 · worst 2020 −3.1 - 14
Wills−5.80−0.64 a season over 9 seasons · best 2017 +0.8 · worst 2024 −2.1
Actual wins minus the average of his records across all ten schedules that season, summed over his seasons (2017–2025). Positive is wins gained, negative wins lost; the bar is scaled to the largest effect.